We will preview each upcoming bowl, and then give our predictions. Hopefully, it will be a good indicator for you if you need to bet on a bowl....or something. Anyway, on to the Preview!
Poinsettia Bowl
Background:
This is the first time these teams have met. A new rivalry, perhaps?
Navy: 4 Game Winning Streak, mostly against poo
Utah: Loss to Brigham Young, but 7 game tear through Mountain West Opponents
Utah Advantages:
Utah has gone through a much more rigourous schedule, and seems to have pulled it together after a 1-3 start.
They have a 6 game bowl winning streak stretching back to 1999. Considering they've gone through 3 coaches in this span, I'd consider this stat irrelevant.
They have the top scoring defense in the Mountain West.
They've been studying film since before the bowl was even announced. They're prepared.
They have one of the nations best kickers, Louie Sakoda.
Utah Disadvantages:
Although Navy has had a terrible schedule, Utahs hasn't exactly been strong.
Utah has relied a lot on their defenses scoring to win games.
They pretty much laid down against the stronger opponents early on.
Navy Advantages:
The coach losing thing is really overblown. The replacement is a guy who knows the type of offense they run well (Triple option rushing attack, I'm told), and the defensive coordinator is still there. Says Junior QB Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada, "Personally, I'm happy because we've got a coach who really knows the option. We got a curveball thrown at us, but we woke up and found out we already have a new coach."
Even though they have key bad losses, none of those teams has successfully stopped their monstrous rushing attack, and it's doubtful that Utah (who is mostly good at pass defense) can do that.
Navy has never exactly been blown out.... Had the ball gone the other way, Navy could easily be 10-2, and dare I say....ranked?
Navy Disadvantages:
They've lost their coach, which could be a moral blow. Historically, teams who lose their head coaches don't do very well.
The best team they've beaten is Pittsburgh, and after that, there's a huge dropoff. They've also recorded losses at Ball State, Delaware, and Wake Forest.
Their Passing attack is average at best, and that's against bad opponents.
Navy is only there because they have a contractual agreement to play in the Poinsettia Bowl every time they get a winning record.
Writer Predictions:
Zorgon: Utah. Navy probobly wouldn't even be in a bowl if it weren't for some stupid contract. Why not Troy? In any case, Navys defense has been kind of overlooked, but it's an absolute abhorration....and that's with a weak schedule. In any case, even if all of that equals out, I think Utah will win it through their star kiacker, and Navy still has their coach to worry about. Utah all the way.
OKLuschen: Utah. Inconsistancy is the key here. I like the more versatile Utah attack. Navy is also facing distractions thanks to coach Paul Johnson leaving for Georgia Tech. Utah will win, but take Navy in the points.
Jason Frost: Navy. Because they own.
Final Verdict: Utah 2, Navy 1
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